As Nigerians await the result of the Presidential election held at the weekend, Daily Times can authoritatively reveal that 14 states may determine the winner.
The states include Rivers, Delta Abia, Anambra, Lagos and Jigawa. The rest are Kano, Kaduna, Cross River, Imo, Akwa Ibom, Katsina, Bauci and Kebbi.
The projection is based on the actual voter turnout and its effect on the overall result.
From the results trickling in, while the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Major General Muhammadu Buhari secured clean sweep of polls particularly in the North, his figures may be cancelled by the higher turnout in the strongolds of President Goodluck Jonathan which recorded higher voter turnout.
Rivers has a total number of 2,127,883 Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs) and voter turnout of 1,612,900 while Delta has 1,939,952 distributed PVCs and voter turnout of 1,551,962.
Abia had total number of 1,183,127 PVCs distributed and voter turnout of 1,064,814 while in Anambra 1,658,967 PVCs were distributed and had voter turnout of 1,161,277.
Others are Lagos with total number of 3,799,274 PVCs distributed and voter turnout of 1,589,616 and Jigawa with total number of 1,757,658 PVCs distributed with voter turnout of 1,171,303.
But Kano, with a total number of 4,112,039 PVCs distributed had voter turnout of 2,597,575 while Kaduna with total number of PVCs distributed of 3,174,519 with voter turnout of 2,406,603. Meanwhile, the PDP said on Sunday that it was winning in 23 states, with 64 percent while the opposition APC was leading in 14 states with 36 percent.
However, while the national chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Professor Attahiru Jega said that he had no such information and cautioned against unauthorized release of results, the APC warned against manipulation of the results.
While the official results were yet to be released, the social media has been awash with purported results of the exercise, many of them predicting a win for the APC.
But the Director of Media and Publicity of the PDP Presidential Campaign Organisation (PDPPCO) Chief Femi Fani-Kayode told a press conference in Abuja on Sunday that his party was in the clear lead.
He declared: “As we speak now, we are winning in 23 states and we have 64 percent while the APC is winning in 14 states and has 36 percent.”
Fani-Kayode stated further: “These results are subject to confirmation by the Independent National Electoral Commission. However, we are certain of what we are saying because we have information from our agents in every polling unit nationwide.”
He continued: “No one must test our will by attempting to change these results and the APC should desist from pushing this nation to the brink of fire, chaos and destruction with their dirty lies and propaganda”.
The APC warned against any attempt to tamper with the results, saying Nigerians had voted peacefully and massively and they knew who they voted for.
In a statement issued in Lagos by its National Publicity Secretary, Alhaji Lai Mohammed, the APC said it had the authentic results from every polling unit where voting took place on Saturday, and would not accept anything contrary to those signed results.
It decried the alleged dangerous kite being flown by the PDP, “through some of their paid media channels, seeking to appropriate unearned victories across the nation.”
The APC said further: “We have always said we will accept the result of any free, fair and transparent elections. We stand by that avowal. However, what we will not accept – and which we are sure Nigerians themselves will reject – is any move to rewrite the results and thwart the will of the people under any guise. We will not accept that.”
Mohammed continued: “We have heard of the desperate moves to cancel the results in areas where the APC has beaten the PDP embarrassingly,” adding: “Nigerians will definitely not accept that.”
The party said it was aware of the ongoing efforts to force Electoral Officers and Presiding Officers in Imo State, some of whom it alleged were being picked up by the military at press time, to rewrite the results of the elections in the state.
“We have the results from every polling unit in Imo State and we know that we have won in over 80 per cent in the presidential election. So there must be no shenanigans,” it warned.
The APC also said the same attempts were being made in Sokoto, Enugu, Ekiti, Ondo, Lagos and other states, wondering why anyone would be seeking to reverse the results that it said were already settled. ”In the Nsukka Local Government Area, INEC officials, instead of collating results, handed over the exercise to PDP Nsukka zone to write. They holed up inside a local government guest house (name withheld) to write results and change figures, and were provided with security by the police. APC candidates and agents were chased away. In collaboration with INEC, they refused to let the card readers function and no result sheet came to most polling booths.”
The party continued: “In Lagos, they have yet to announce the result of the Apapa Local Government which has been ready since yesterday, apparently in a move to manipulate the outcome. Those who voted will not agree with any attempt to steal their votes.”
But Jega declared that INEC had not collated results from up to 23 states, contrary to claims by Fani-Kayode, wondering where the PDP chieftain got his information from.
According to the INEC Chairman, “the Commission has not collated results from 23 states. You should rely on information given by the electoral commission, not by the ones given by partisan politicians.
“We will get the results as soon as they are processed. Collation officers for states have to deliver the original copies of their results to us at the INEC headquarters.
“So far, no original results have been brought to us. But we know that some of them are on their way”, he said.
Jega also stated that the commission is not under any form of pressure to declare the outcome of the Saturday’s presidential and National Assembly elections inconclusive.
Jega assured that the results of the elections would be released within forty-eight hours, counting from Saturday evening when the elections held in many parts of the country.
The INEC Chairman also revealed that out of slightly over 150, 000 card readers that were deployed for the elections on Saturday, only about 374 units representing 0.25 percent developed problem, stressing that that was “insignificantly irrelevant”.
He however confirmed that results from two states-Ekiti and Ogun, have been scanned and sent to the Commission’s headquarters, stressing that the original copies are still been awaited.
He admitted that there were lapses in the conduct of the general election, but assured that the noticed lapses will be corrected before the next election on April 11.
While confirming the receipt of a letter from the All Progressives Congress, APC, in Rivers State calling for the cancellation of the Saturday elections in the state, Jega assured that the various complaints raised in the letter will be properly investigated for proper action to be taken.
He described the various incidents that happened in Rivers State on Saturday as being of great concern, assuring that if any INEC staff is involved, such staff will be dealt with appropriately.
The INEC Chairman further assured that the various allegations of rigging, under aged voters as well as under aged registration will be properly investigated and dealt with.
Jega lamented the killing of two INEC ad-hoc staff in Gombe by suspected members of the Boko Haram, describing it as very unfortunate.
He said: “Any loss of lives is regrettable and unfortunate. We condemn this”.
The Commission, Jega said, had requested for more police protection for its offices, especially at the local government level, to avoid the kind of ugly situation that led to the razing of its local government office in Rivers State.